Live Trading History
Real Money. Real Trades. 5+ Years.
A verified trading history spanning March 2021 to present — built on regime-aligned themes before the Alphameter framework was formalised, and accelerating since.
+31.3%
Best Full Year
2025 — first regime-based year
63.8%
Win Rate
of all closed positions
3,662
Total Trades
across 5+ years
228
Unique Assets
across 6 asset classes
Return by Year
Annual return on deployed capital. Every loss year traces directly to leveraged positions taken without a regime signal.
*2026 figure covers January–April only. Return on average deployed capital.
Where the Wins Came From
Share of total profitable P&L by theme — all top performers are Alphameter regime-aligned assets.
The Framework Effect
The last 18 months of regime-based positioning generated 81% of all gains across the entire 5+ year history.
2021 – 2024
Pre-Framework
Discretionary theme investing — uranium, gold, space. Profitable in 3 of 4 years. One bad year from leveraged commodity bets undone by no regime filter.
2023 Lesson
The Counterexample
100% of that year's losses came from leveraged commodity ETPs — 3× crude oil and 2× wheat. No regime signal. No systematic exit. The opposite of the framework.
2025 – 2026
Regime-Based
Systematic regime-aligned positioning. Same asset classes — uranium, space, gold — but entered and exited with Alphameter signals. 81% of all 5-year gains in 30% of the time.
The Pattern is Clear
What worked:
- ✓Space tech (RKLB, ASTS, PL) — risk-on momentum plays
- ✓Uranium (CCJ, UUUU) — regime-driven commodity cycle
- ✓Gold miners — risk-off episode beneficiaries
- ✓Semiconductors — Nasdaq-correlated risk-on theme
What didn't:
- ✗3× leveraged crude oil ETP — no regime exit signal
- ✗2× leveraged wheat ETP — directional macro bet, no framework
- ✗Natural gas CFD — pure speculation, ignored regime
Every loss in this portfolio came from positions taken without a regime signal — leveraged bets on price direction alone. Every sustained winner was a regime-aligned theme held through a confirmed episode.
The Alphameter formalises the regime signal that was missing from the losing trades — and present in every winning theme.
Past trading performance is not indicative of future results. This track record reflects real historical trades on a personal account and is provided for informational purposes only. Nothing on this page constitutes financial advice.